0xaE8EDe3C3838591228D86B68Ff932696b498951f-1776374042796
0xae8ede3c3838591228d86b68ff932696b498951f
- Realised P&L
- $46.00
- Volume
- $29.7k
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $5.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
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- +$17.37at 0.597Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
- +$11.58at 0.467Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
- +$11.58at 0.467Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 16:00 | Ethereum Up or Down on September 26? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.29 |
| 09-26 15:59 | Ethereum Up or Down on September 26? | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 15:52 | Nothing Ever Happens: September | BUY | 0.0297169093 | $10.00 |
| 07-28 14:45 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 07-28 14:44 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.4899999804 | $5.00 |
| 07-25 14:34 | Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 12:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET | BUY | 0.4299999871 | $5.00 |
| 07-09 21:16 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | SELL | 0.999 | $58.76 |
| 07-09 21:14 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 07-07 16:22 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | SELL | 0.83 | $9.88 |
| 07-07 16:19 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY | 0.8399999664 | $10.00 |
| 07-07 16:16 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY | 0.1699999871 | $10.00 |
| 07-05 12:28 | Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4299999871 | $5.00 |
| 07-02 20:23 | Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 07-02 20:16 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |