0xae8e51fE57d693Ef2140b3cf64029526bf13AFC1-1775611606863
0xae8e51fe57d693ef2140b3cf64029526bf13afc1
- Realised P&L
- $-3.4k
- Volume
- $1.35M
- Markets traded
- 186
- Open portfolio
- $39.36
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded186
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.167Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
- +$641.70at 0.032Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
- +$409.68at 0.070Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
- +$292.41at 0.037Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
- +$277.62at 0.135Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 15:32 | Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.70 |
| 11-01 02:46 | Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.02191 | $2.19 |
| 10-31 15:59 | Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.009 | $4.28 |
| 10-31 15:59 | Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.018 | $2.27 |
| 10-31 15:58 | Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 10-31 15:57 | Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $4.00 |
| 10-31 15:57 | Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.008 | $1.60 |
| 10-31 15:57 | Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.036 | $0.80 |
| 10-30 16:30 | Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.007 | $0.14 |
| 10-30 16:25 | Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.011 | $0.49 |
| 10-30 16:24 | Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.012 | $1.20 |
| 10-30 15:38 | Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.007 | $0.14 |
| 10-30 15:36 | Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.014 | $0.07 |
| 10-30 15:31 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.011 | $2.09 |
| 10-30 15:28 | Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.012 | $2.00 |