PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xae8e51fE57d693Ef2140b3cf64029526bf13AFC1-1775611606863

0xae8e51fe57d693ef2140b3cf64029526bf13afc1

Realised P&L
$-3.4k
Volume
$1.35M
Markets traded
186
Open portfolio
$39.36

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded186
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration66.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration65.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? · Yes0.0410.081$25.93+$12.73
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? · Yes0.0070.015$6.00+$3.20
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? · Yes0.0110.024$4.70+$2.40
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? · Yes0.0130.044$1.56+$1.10
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? · Yes0.0070.014$0.70+$0.35
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? · Yes0.0110.030$0.48+$0.30
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? · Yes0.0740.000$0.00−$197.39
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00−$51.32
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00−$268.80
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00−$68.18
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00−$68.97
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$44.28
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00−$2.91
Will MrBeast's next video get between 53 and 54 million views on day 4? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00−$38.71
Will MrBeast's next video get between 46 and 48 million views on day 2? · Yes0.1080.000$0.00−$59.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 15:32Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?SELL0.007$0.70
11-01 02:46Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?BUY0.02191$2.19
10-31 15:59Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?SELL0.009$4.28
10-31 15:59Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?SELL0.018$2.27
10-31 15:58Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?SELL0.01$0.05
10-31 15:57Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?SELL0.01$4.00
10-31 15:57Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?SELL0.008$1.60
10-31 15:57Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?BUY0.036$0.80
10-30 16:30Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?BUY0.007$0.14
10-30 16:25Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?BUY0.011$0.49
10-30 16:24Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?BUY0.012$1.20
10-30 15:38Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?BUY0.007$0.14
10-30 15:36Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?BUY0.014$0.07
10-30 15:31Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?SELL0.011$2.09
10-30 15:28Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?BUY0.012$2.00