PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xae8cfffdc890fabff6c11fd48ab5f66ca52a22eb

Realised P&L
$-1.67
Volume
$495.00
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$45.44

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration54.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.5710.835$18.37+$5.81
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.7700.805$8.86+$0.38
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.9340.913$7.31$0.16
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.9200.845$4.22$0.38
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? · No0.5000.885$2.65+$1.15
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.0500.041$2.05$0.45
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.5000.165$1.98$4.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-15 17:26China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.92$7.36
07-04 14:56Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.05$2.50
07-02 14:06Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.92$4.60
06-18 19:42China coup attempt before 2027?BUY0.962$8.66
06-15 13:35Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.23$1.15
06-07 23:11Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.13$1.56
06-04 07:51China coup attempt before 2027?BUY0.972$9.72
05-25 06:26Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.934$12.14
05-22 22:54Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.77$8.47
05-20 19:01Modi out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.896$4.48
05-20 19:00Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?BUY0.939$4.69
05-20 19:00Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?BUY0.061$1.40
05-20 19:00Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?BUY0.605$3.02
04-21 19:48Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?BUY0.902$5.41
04-18 00:48Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.76$4.56