jonathanhernandez
0xae8ca34c8eccf687360d6226844b1b92961afe8a
- Realised P&L
- $33.39
- Volume
- $11.2k
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $43.10
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs vs. Raiders · Chiefs | 0.660 | 0.655 | $25.64 | −$0.20 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees · New York Yankees | 0.590 | 0.555 | $17.47 | −$1.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.00at 0.620LAPTOP airdrop to $TRUMP holders by September 9?
- +$8.37at 0.924Will xAI have the top AI model on May 31?
- +$1.51at 0.986Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31?
- +$1.43at 0.987Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?
- +$1.22at 0.989Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 14:17 | Will Hyperliquid hit $38 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.15 |
| 01-31 13:57 | Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.994 | $11.35 |
| 01-30 16:22 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.52 |
| 01-30 15:32 | Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $13.54 |
| 01-30 12:12 | Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,475-$4,600 in January? | BUY | 0.992 | $17.78 |
| 01-30 11:49 | Will Lighter reach $3.50 in January? | BUY | 0.998 | $70.41 |
| 12-30 12:03 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $12.13 |
| 12-29 20:53 | Maduro out in 2025? | BUY | 0.9949999248 | $8.73 |
| 12-29 20:13 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.992 | $17.65 |
| 12-29 20:10 | Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.80 |
| 12-29 17:57 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9989999904 | $66.30 |
| 10-30 20:23 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.35 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $37.47 |
| 10-30 17:36 | Will Z.ai have the second best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.99 | $33.88 |
| 09-29 16:49 | Will Ethereum reach $5000 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.17 |
| 09-29 13:57 | Will Bitcoin reach $125K in September? | BUY | 0.9979999392 | $11.06 |