0xae8b08aaea2dc6e93a9f89a834ad73954c34d21a
0xae8b08aaea2dc6e93a9f89a834ad73954c34d21a
- Realised P&L
- $-5.4k
- Volume
- $472.6k
- Markets traded
- 722
- Open portfolio
- $258.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded722
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 5AM ET · Down | 0.784 | 0.965 | $258.41 | +$48.41 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.228Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
- +$1.0kat 0.333Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
- +$733.93at 0.530Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
- +$690.20at 0.675Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
- +$667.61at 0.391Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 09:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.7899999947 | $30.00 |
| 09-28 09:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.7899999947 | $30.00 |
| 09-28 09:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.7899999947 | $30.00 |
| 09-28 09:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.7899999947 | $30.00 |
| 09-28 09:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.7799999979 | $30.00 |
| 09-28 09:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.7799999979 | $30.00 |
| 09-28 09:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.7699999992 | $30.00 |
| 09-28 09:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET | SELL | 0.32 | $47.26 |
| 09-28 09:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $30.00 |
| 09-28 09:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET | BUY | 0.4026186532 | $30.00 |
| 09-28 09:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 5AM ET | SELL | 0.4 | $6.00 |
| 09-28 09:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 5AM ET | SELL | 0.3894927536 | $107.50 |
| 09-28 09:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.2699999978 | $30.00 |
| 09-28 09:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $30.00 |
| 09-28 09:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.3272727261 | $30.00 |