0xAE825B67FAc24B92f328f25b5d2530567605FAF0-1757008313024
0xae825b67fac24b92f328f25b5d2530567605faf0
- Realised P&L
- $34.3k
- Volume
- $2.14M
- Markets traded
- 888
- Open portfolio
- $3.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded888
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Miss vs. Troy: O/U 51.5 · Over | 0.470 | 0.991 | $3.0k | +$1.6k |
| Kings vs. Jazz: O/U 231.5 · Over | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$795.00 |
| Quito: Juan Sebastian Osorio vs Peter Bertran · Peter Bertran | 0.515 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$266.42 |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers · Chicago White Sox | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.6k |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET · Up | 0.281 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$84.15 |
| Texas Rangers vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5 · Under | 0.627 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$221.81 |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5 · Under | 0.531 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.1k |
| Spread: Wake Forest Demon Deacons (-10.5) · Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 0.472 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$940.00 |
| Spread: Rockets (-2.5) · Rockets | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$325.19 |
| Yankees vs. Twins · Twins | 0.404 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.0k |
| San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves · San Diego Padres | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$225.00 |
| Colorado Rockies vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5 · Under | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$140.92 |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
| Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) · Chicago White Sox | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$940.00 |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-19? · No | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$440.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.8kat 0.520Grizzlies vs. Mavericks: O/U 238.5
- +$5.4kat 0.457Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals
- +$4.7kat 0.417Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox
- +$4.5kat 0.437San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves
- +$4.1kat 0.367Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 14:07 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.48 | $1.4k |
| 10-06 13:56 | Southern Miss vs. Troy: O/U 51.5 | BUY | 0.47 | $1.4k |
| 10-02 18:31 | Virginia vs. Florida State | BUY | 0.46 | $1.4k |
| 10-02 18:25 | Spread: Notre Dame (-21.5) | BUY | 0.52 | $780.00 |
| 09-26 18:40 | South Florida vs. Bowling Green: O/U 48.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $510.00 |
| 09-26 16:18 | Cincinnati Reds vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.53 | $1.1k |
| 09-26 15:04 | Spread: UNLV (-13.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $510.00 |
| 09-26 14:39 | Air Force vs. Nevada | BUY | 0.33 | $660.00 |
| 09-26 14:38 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Detroit Tigers | SELL | 0.48 | $480.00 |
| 09-26 14:37 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Detroit Tigers | BUY | 0.5 | $500.00 |
| 09-26 13:26 | New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals | BUY | 0.46 | $2.3k |
| 09-26 13:24 | Spread: Michigan (-5.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $375.00 |
| 09-26 13:24 | Spread: Hawai'i (-2.5) | SELL | 0.49 | $490.00 |
| 09-25 16:31 | Spread: Florida Atlantic (-11.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $368.07 |
| 09-25 14:44 | Will Llaneros FC win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.29 | $1.74 |