PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Rikkert

0xae80195bd3a761fe6b39bec9dfab9b5566fc86b0

Realised P&L
$-164.43
Volume
$261.7k
Markets traded
258
Open portfolio
$35.55

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded258
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration71.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9620.984$25.56+$0.56
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 35 and 40 million views in week 1? · Yes0.1600.135$6.75−$1.25
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 20 and 22 million views on day 2? · No0.0840.022$1.87−$5.24
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 22 and 24 million views on day 2? · Yes0.0830.023$1.38−$3.62

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 13:20Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 35 and 40 million views in week 1?BUY0.16$8.00
09-28 13:19Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 35 and 40 million views in week 1?SELL0.18$9.00
09-28 13:19Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?SELL0.26$13.38
09-28 11:42Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL0.035$175.06
09-28 11:04Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.036$180.00
09-28 09:14Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?SELL0.57$11.40
09-28 09:14Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?SELL0.57$45.60
09-24 14:00Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30?SELL0.04$4.00
09-24 13:57Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30?BUY0.05$5.00
09-20 11:14Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL0.035$63.56
09-20 11:14Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL0.036$48.60
09-20 11:13Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL0.037$19.98
09-20 10:57Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.037$24.30
09-20 10:57Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.036$109.82
09-15 17:59Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.17$8.88