Rikkert
0xae80195bd3a761fe6b39bec9dfab9b5566fc86b0
- Realised P&L
- $-164.43
- Volume
- $261.7k
- Markets traded
- 258
- Open portfolio
- $35.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded258
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No | 0.962 | 0.984 | $25.56 | +$0.56 |
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 35 and 40 million views in week 1? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.135 | $6.75 | −$1.25 |
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 20 and 22 million views on day 2? · No | 0.084 | 0.022 | $1.87 | −$5.24 |
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 22 and 24 million views on day 2? · Yes | 0.083 | 0.023 | $1.38 | −$3.62 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.57at 0.987Will XRP reach $6.00 before 2026?
- +$3.26at 0.996Will Bitcoin reach $200k in April?
- +$3.23at 0.990Will Solana dip to $70 January 19-25?
- +$2.89at 0.997Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in October?
- +$2.50at 0.998XRP Up or Down on November 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 13:20 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 35 and 40 million views in week 1? | BUY | 0.16 | $8.00 |
| 09-28 13:19 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 35 and 40 million views in week 1? | SELL | 0.18 | $9.00 |
| 09-28 13:19 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1? | SELL | 0.26 | $13.38 |
| 09-28 11:42 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | SELL | 0.035 | $175.06 |
| 09-28 11:04 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.036 | $180.00 |
| 09-28 09:14 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1? | SELL | 0.57 | $11.40 |
| 09-28 09:14 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1? | SELL | 0.57 | $45.60 |
| 09-24 14:00 | Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30? | SELL | 0.04 | $4.00 |
| 09-24 13:57 | Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 11:14 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | SELL | 0.035 | $63.56 |
| 09-20 11:14 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | SELL | 0.036 | $48.60 |
| 09-20 11:13 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | SELL | 0.037 | $19.98 |
| 09-20 10:57 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.037 | $24.30 |
| 09-20 10:57 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.036 | $109.82 |
| 09-15 17:59 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $8.88 |