austin29
0xae7f3d899c61bd898001feaebd775c4c1c543ecd
- Realised P&L
- $-181.12
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $0.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Edwin Gonzalo Vásquez Sánchez win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.006 | $0.06 | −$3.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.94at 0.382Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 15?
- +$24.53at 0.371Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?
- +$14.04at 0.532Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?
- +$12.61at 0.610TCU vs. BYU
- +$9.31at 0.742Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 22:12 | Wuning 3: Ajeet Rai vs Grigoriy Lomakin | BUY | 0.7435118043 | $2.12 |
| 10-03 22:09 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.64 | $16.40 |
| 10-01 09:24 | Will Edwin Gonzalo Vásquez Sánchez win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.3299999821 | $3.13 |
| 10-01 09:22 | Bruins vs. Jets | BUY | 0.5299999961 | $20.31 |
| 09-26 17:31 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.2257248911 | $2.64 |
| 09-21 06:07 | Will there be between 5 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30? | BUY | 0.66 | $2.31 |
| 09-21 05:59 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on September 22? | BUY | 0.1743749978 | $1.55 |
| 09-18 08:15 | Houston vs. Texas Tech | BUY | 0.2599999841 | $2.94 |
| 09-16 09:54 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.8196601726 | $12.06 |
| 09-13 20:05 | Szczecin: Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg vs Rudolf Molleker | BUY | 0.5 | $3.07 |
| 09-13 20:01 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.7325472688 | $26.48 |
| 09-09 21:48 | Will Centre Party (C) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes? | BUY | 0.4199999458 | $2.79 |
| 09-09 21:41 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 11? | BUY | 0.5893314325 | $27.62 |
| 09-05 15:46 | Sacred Heart vs. Monmouth | BUY | 0.1942432683 | $10.46 |
| 09-02 11:48 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 2? | BUY | 0.2299999399 | $2.18 |