NortyCrosal
0xae7d1bdb9957f5356ac701ac5c2448e179db1c71
- Realised P&L
- $0.00
- Volume
- $234.17
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $18.32
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.010 | $18.32 | −$1.83 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.40at 0.520Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
- +$-12.57at 0.133Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 13:12 | Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.011 | $20.15 |
| 11-01 13:12 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.48 | $3.81 |
| 11-01 13:12 | Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $18.10 |
| 10-30 11:00 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999799 | $4.13 |
| 10-30 10:59 | Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1326118553 | $30.00 |