PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

guapii

0xae79b65acedb14040d303fb503787e245acc5322

Realised P&L
$-1.4k
Volume
$118.6k
Markets traded
5,373
Open portfolio
$742.85

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded5,373
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or below on October 11? · No0.9981.000$29.98+$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C or below on October 11? · No0.9981.000$29.98+$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 79°F or below on October 10? · No0.9991.000$29.98+$0.01
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 55°F or below on October 11? · No0.9981.000$29.98+$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C or higher on October 11? · No0.9991.000$29.98+$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 11? · No0.9981.000$29.98+$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C or below on October 11? · No0.9991.000$29.98+$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on October 11? · No0.9981.000$29.98+$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C or higher on October 11? · No0.9981.000$29.98+$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on October 11? · No0.9991.000$29.98+$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 77°F or below on October 10? · No0.9981.000$29.98+$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on October 11? · No0.9990.999$29.97+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 63°F or below on October 11? · No0.9990.999$29.97+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C or higher on October 11? · No0.9950.999$29.97+$0.12
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C or below on October 11? · No0.9990.999$29.97+$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 06:16Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 11?BUY0.999$29.97
10-11 04:50Will the highest temperature in New York City be 55°F or below on October 11?BUY0.998$29.94
10-11 03:39Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 51°F or below on October 12?BUY0.999$29.97
10-11 03:32Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C or below on October 11?BUY0.999$29.97
10-11 03:32Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on October 11?BUY0.999$29.97
10-10 23:28Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on October 11?BUY0.999$29.97
10-10 23:28Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C or below on October 11?BUY0.999$29.97
10-10 23:27Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C or higher on October 11?BUY0.999$29.97
10-10 23:26Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 11?BUY0.999$29.97
10-10 23:26Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 63°F or below on October 11?BUY0.999$29.97
10-10 23:25Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on October 11?BUY0.999$29.97
10-10 23:25Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 11?BUY0.999$29.97
10-10 23:25Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or below on October 11?BUY0.999$29.97
10-10 22:05Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 11?BUY0.998$29.94
10-10 16:36Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on October 11?BUY0.998$29.94