guapii
0xae79b65acedb14040d303fb503787e245acc5322
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $118.6k
- Markets traded
- 5,373
- Open portfolio
- $742.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,373
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$39.54at 0.208Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
- +$32.99at 0.583Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
- +$24.96at 0.538SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 27?
- +$23.58at 0.366Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
- +$22.99at 0.423Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 06:16 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $29.97 |
| 10-11 04:50 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be 55°F or below on October 11? | BUY | 0.998 | $29.94 |
| 10-11 03:39 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 51°F or below on October 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $29.97 |
| 10-11 03:32 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C or below on October 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $29.97 |
| 10-11 03:32 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on October 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $29.97 |
| 10-10 23:28 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $29.97 |
| 10-10 23:28 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C or below on October 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $29.97 |
| 10-10 23:27 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C or higher on October 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $29.97 |
| 10-10 23:26 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $29.97 |
| 10-10 23:26 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 63°F or below on October 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $29.97 |
| 10-10 23:25 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $29.97 |
| 10-10 23:25 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $29.97 |
| 10-10 23:25 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or below on October 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $29.97 |
| 10-10 22:05 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.998 | $29.94 |
| 10-10 16:36 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.998 | $29.94 |