Brokkk
0xae78c00dd692e6cb1285b1915dd4a48766df9275
- Realised P&L
- $221.73
- Volume
- $8.1k
- Markets traded
- 108
- Open portfolio
- $441.65
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded108
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$63.69at 0.646Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
- +$26.67at 0.712Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by September 30?
- +$25.15at 0.555Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
- +$24.41at 0.656Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?
- +$21.55at 0.420Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 07:47 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9779999998 | $13.00 |
| 10-01 07:44 | Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.38 | $11.44 |
| 10-01 07:43 | Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $19.60 |
| 10-01 07:42 | Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $15.05 |
| 10-01 07:41 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999982 | $60.00 |
| 10-01 07:38 | Will Russia capture Viroliubivka by December 31? | BUY | 0.759999998 | $30.00 |
| 10-01 07:36 | Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $18.00 |
| 10-01 07:35 | Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6599999979 | $50.00 |
| 10-01 07:30 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.9299999861 | $60.00 |
| 10-01 07:30 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.629999995 | $30.00 |
| 10-01 07:29 | Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8899999648 | $20.00 |
| 09-30 16:33 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.6299999996 | $17.00 |
| 09-30 16:32 | Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.996 | $16.46 |
| 09-30 16:32 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.9299999992 | $11.00 |
| 09-30 16:30 | Will Russia capture Stavky by September 30? | SELL | 0.997 | $10.97 |