0xAE6d1b5181d17157c6111fC574a3ff6b1A45DED2-1770555317426
0xae6d1b5181d17157c6111fc574a3ff6b1a45ded2
- Realised P&L
- $-30.5k
- Volume
- $5.06M
- Markets traded
- 4,834
- Open portfolio
- $20.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,834
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration7.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$181.90at 0.402Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 9?
- +$174.01at 0.572Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on September 9?
- +$156.80at 0.300Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 8?
- +$105.45at 0.992Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 14?
- +$92.56at 0.989Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on August 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 04:09 | Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 10-10 02:36 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.9982127661 | $633.38 |
| 10-10 02:12 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.9989999984 | $391.00 |
| 10-10 01:09 | Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 11°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.997 | $1000.00 |
| 10-10 00:57 | Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.9989999999 | $278.70 |
| 10-10 00:30 | Will the lowest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C or higher on October 10? | BUY | 0.999 | $998.98 |
| 10-10 00:30 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.999 | $1000.00 |
| 10-10 00:30 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C or below on October 10? | BUY | 0.997 | $1000.00 |
| 10-10 00:06 | Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.9929301289 | $991.34 |
| 10-10 00:06 | Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.999 | $369.63 |
| 10-10 00:06 | Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.999 | $364.63 |
| 10-10 00:06 | Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.9820998898 | $1000.00 |
| 10-10 00:06 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C or below on October 10? | BUY | 0.999 | $999.00 |
| 10-10 00:06 | Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 12°C or higher on October 10? | BUY | 0.994 | $1000.00 |
| 10-10 00:06 | Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.992 | $1000.00 |