PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xAE6d1b5181d17157c6111fC574a3ff6b1A45DED2-1770555317426

0xae6d1b5181d17157c6111fc574a3ff6b1a45ded2

Realised P&L
$-30.5k
Volume
$5.06M
Markets traded
4,834
Open portfolio
$20.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,834
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration7.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 04:09Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on October 10?BUY0.999$14.98
10-10 02:36Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 10?BUY0.9982127661$633.38
10-10 02:12Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on October 10?BUY0.9989999984$391.00
10-10 01:09Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 11°C on October 10?BUY0.997$1000.00
10-10 00:57Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 10?BUY0.9989999999$278.70
10-10 00:30Will the lowest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C or higher on October 10?BUY0.999$998.98
10-10 00:30Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 10?BUY0.999$1000.00
10-10 00:30Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C or below on October 10?BUY0.997$1000.00
10-10 00:06Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 10?BUY0.9929301289$991.34
10-10 00:06Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on October 10?BUY0.999$369.63
10-10 00:06Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 10?BUY0.999$364.63
10-10 00:06Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 10?BUY0.9820998898$1000.00
10-10 00:06Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C or below on October 10?BUY0.999$999.00
10-10 00:06Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 12°C or higher on October 10?BUY0.994$1000.00
10-10 00:06Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 10?BUY0.992$1000.00