PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

surfa

0xae671ffd7421c2fc2b4ad6eb21dedfec3ad57cc8

Realised P&L
$3.0k
Volume
$135.0k
Markets traded
151
Open portfolio
$3.5k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded151
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.0510.037$666.66−$246.11
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7500.725$543.75−$18.75
Texans vs. Colts: O/U 42.5 · Under0.5201.000$399.80+$191.80
Spread: Bengals (-2.5) · Steelers0.4501.000$399.80+$219.80
Ravens vs. Cowboys: O/U 53.5 · Over0.5000.675$337.50+$87.50
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.2200.075$300.00−$580.00
Vikings vs. Buccaneers · Buccaneers0.5150.245$245.00−$270.00
Rams vs. Broncos: O/U 43.5 · Under0.4800.475$237.50−$2.50
Cardinals vs. 49ers: O/U 48.5 · Under0.5400.425$212.50−$57.50
Vikings vs. Buccaneers: O/U 42.5 · Under0.4900.400$200.00−$45.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-27 21:02Rams vs. Broncos: O/U 43.5BUY0.48$240.00
09-27 20:13Patriots vs. JaguarsSELL0.999$499.50
09-27 20:06Vikings vs. BuccaneersBUY0.49$245.00
09-27 20:05Ravens vs. Cowboys: O/U 53.5BUY0.5$250.00
09-27 19:58Vikings vs. Buccaneers: O/U 42.5BUY0.49$245.00
09-27 16:56Spread: Bengals (-2.5)BUY0.45$180.00
09-27 16:55Spread: Lions (-6.5)BUY0.53$265.00
09-27 16:54Patriots vs. JaguarsBUY0.6$300.00
09-27 16:52Titans vs. GiantsBUY0.44$220.00
09-27 16:51Texans vs. Colts: O/U 42.5BUY0.52$208.00
09-27 16:50Spread: Seahawks (-8.5)BUY0.48$240.00
09-27 16:49Spread: Chiefs (-10.5)BUY0.45$225.00
09-27 01:00Georgia Tech vs. StanfordBUY0.42$126.00
09-27 00:54Spread: Oregon State (-11.5)BUY0.5$150.00
09-26 23:30Spread: SMU (-30.5)BUY0.49$70.76