alphapres
0xae5abda8ceea453dd43adaa3458a1fff4cdce2b0
- Realised P&L
- $6.43
- Volume
- $175.22
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $104.86
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.95at 0.610Meta "Mango" model released by June 30?
- +$1.45at 0.710Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
- +$1.40at 0.720Will Oliver Adams Larkin be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?
- +$1.22at 0.756Will Progresīvie (PRO) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?
- +$1.00at 0.800Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 06:40 | Will Abby McKibben win the next Huon Valley mayoral election? | BUY | 0.7 | $3.50 |
| 10-04 06:39 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-08 House election by 6%-9%? | BUY | 0.72 | $3.60 |
| 09-09 03:54 | Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027? | BUY | 0.86 | $4.30 |
| 09-09 03:23 | Will the Democratic Party win the TX-09 House seat? | BUY | 0.88 | $4.40 |
| 08-22 15:28 | Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027? | BUY | 0.82 | $4.10 |
| 08-22 15:27 | Will the Republican Party win the TX-28 House seat? | BUY | 0.83 | $4.15 |
| 08-22 15:27 | Will the Republican Party win the VA-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.84 | $4.20 |
| 08-22 15:25 | Will Hollie Noveletsky be the Republican Nominee for NH-01? | BUY | 0.9 | $4.50 |
| 08-22 15:20 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.966 | $4.83 |
| 08-22 15:19 | Will the Republican Party win the VA-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.84 | $4.20 |
| 08-22 15:18 | Will Hollie Noveletsky be the Republican Nominee for NH-01? | BUY | 0.9 | $4.50 |
| 08-22 15:13 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.966 | $4.83 |
| 08-19 22:05 | Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027? | BUY | 0.82 | $4.10 |
| 07-02 09:45 | Will the Democratic Party win the TX-32 House seat? | BUY | 0.76 | $3.80 |
| 07-02 09:44 | Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $3.90 |