PolyBot

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Traders

Oxae5839b89d47738616264276Ac1F0D77F936E5C5

0xae5839b89d47738616264276ac1f0d77f936e5c5

Realised P&L
$-1.4k
Volume
$113.4k
Markets traded
555
Open portfolio
$333.36

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded555
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.9440.945$54.80+$0.08
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.9430.955$24.02+$0.31
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9280.949$20.48+$0.44
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8990.865$14.33−$0.56
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8250.840$11.85+$0.20
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026? · No0.9500.950$11.44−$0.00
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? · No0.9150.925$8.71+$0.09
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.9320.945$7.63+$0.10
Will Nasir Idris win the 2027 Kebbi State gubernatorial election? · Yes0.8870.880$7.48−$0.06
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9460.957$7.08+$0.08
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.9380.945$6.60+$0.05
Will the African Democratic Congress (ADC) win the most seats in the 2027 Nigerian House of Representatives election? · No0.9320.915$5.96−$0.11
Will Esthela Damián Peralta win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election? · No0.9000.962$5.68+$0.37
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? · No0.9400.935$5.60−$0.03
Will Otu Bassey Edet win the 2027 Cross River State gubernatorial election? · Yes0.8000.815$4.90+$0.09

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 21:15Tusk out by December 31?SELL0.9$0.42
11-01 21:14Tusk out by December 31?BUY0.9299997131$1.88
11-01 20:38Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.852$3.30
11-01 20:12Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.512$0.86
11-01 19:54Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.512$1.47
11-01 19:53Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?SELL0.97$8.28
11-01 19:51Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?BUY0.9399999533$5.63
11-01 19:48Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?SELL0.94$19.82
11-01 19:20Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.7099999616$4.25
11-01 18:57Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.495$0.16
11-01 18:19Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?SELL0.94$24.26
11-01 17:52Will Russia invade another country in 2026?BUY0.968999998$2.90
11-01 17:502026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.6999999665$2.09
11-01 17:26Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?SELL0.93$0.44
11-01 17:24Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?SELL0.92$0.73