Oxae5839b89d47738616264276Ac1F0D77F936E5C5
0xae5839b89d47738616264276ac1f0d77f936e5c5
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $105.0k
- Markets traded
- 420
- Open portfolio
- $457.30
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded420
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.97at 0.042Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
- +$2.28at 0.581Will Thorsten Kornblum win the next Braunschweig mayoral election?
- +$1.19at 0.629Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?
- +$1.10at 0.941Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?
- +$1.08at 0.991Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 21:59 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.99 | $5.94 |
| 09-17 21:30 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.9909999993 | $5.89 |
| 09-17 20:19 | Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.9299997131 | $1.88 |
| 09-17 20:15 | Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | SELL | 0.77 | $0.22 |
| 09-17 20:15 | Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | SELL | 0.77 | $0.22 |
| 09-17 19:36 | Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | SELL | 0.77 | $0.32 |
| 09-17 19:33 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | BUY | 0.9679999431 | $15.23 |
| 09-17 18:55 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.75 | $1.25 |
| 09-17 18:53 | Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | SELL | 0.93 | $0.48 |
| 09-17 18:53 | Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.9399996279 | $1.92 |
| 09-17 18:02 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | SELL | 0.92 | $0.79 |
| 09-17 17:55 | Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.981 | $1.02 |
| 09-17 17:05 | Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | BUY | 0.7699999795 | $2.25 |
| 09-17 17:05 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | BUY | 0.9299998799 | $3.64 |
| 09-17 17:01 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | SELL | 0.92 | $0.56 |