Oxae5839b89d47738616264276Ac1F0D77F936E5C5
0xae5839b89d47738616264276ac1f0d77f936e5c5
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $113.4k
- Markets traded
- 555
- Open portfolio
- $333.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded555
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.93at 0.042Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
- +$2.29at 0.581Will Thorsten Kornblum win the next Braunschweig mayoral election?
- +$1.70at 0.880Will Yegor Kovalchuk win the 2026 Bryansk Oblast gubernatorial elections?
- +$1.54at 0.941Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?
- +$1.20at 0.629Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:15 | Tusk out by December 31? | SELL | 0.9 | $0.42 |
| 11-01 21:14 | Tusk out by December 31? | BUY | 0.9299997131 | $1.88 |
| 11-01 20:38 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.852 | $3.30 |
| 11-01 20:12 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.512 | $0.86 |
| 11-01 19:54 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.512 | $1.47 |
| 11-01 19:53 | Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? | SELL | 0.97 | $8.28 |
| 11-01 19:51 | Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999533 | $5.63 |
| 11-01 19:48 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $19.82 |
| 11-01 19:20 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999616 | $4.25 |
| 11-01 18:57 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.495 | $0.16 |
| 11-01 18:19 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $24.26 |
| 11-01 17:52 | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | BUY | 0.968999998 | $2.90 |
| 11-01 17:50 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.6999999665 | $2.09 |
| 11-01 17:26 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | SELL | 0.93 | $0.44 |
| 11-01 17:24 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | SELL | 0.92 | $0.73 |