dalianmao526
0xae4e2b114010a1de41e37b64c6120c73417c3ffa
- Realised P&L
- $208.89
- Volume
- $39.8k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration27.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes | 0.918 | 0.945 | $1.1k | +$32.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$150.01at 0.847Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$128.76at 0.851Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$81.14at 0.552Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$55.20at 0.950Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
- +$36.00at 0.940Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 12:30 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.93 | $372.00 |
| 09-03 15:04 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $304.00 |
| 08-23 14:22 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.22 | $308.00 |
| 08-22 01:59 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $105.60 |
| 08-21 13:35 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | SELL | 0.0141642534 | $21.86 |
| 08-12 13:40 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | SELL | 0.046 | $12.67 |
| 08-04 14:18 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.83 | $497.99 |
| 08-03 00:05 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | SELL | 0.18 | $90.00 |
| 06-16 12:41 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $375.98 |
| 06-04 12:42 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.57 | $228.00 |