0xAE4998b71b34C927dA4c26893BD5c3E38A905CE7-1783194345678
0xae4998b71b34c927da4c26893bd5c3e38a905ce7
- Realised P&L
- $-1.47
- Volume
- $31.3k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $68.65
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Yashar win 20-21 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes | 0.190 | 1.000 | $50.42 | +$40.81 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.046 | $17.83 | −$32.57 |
| Will Naftali Bennett receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.001 | $0.40 | −$29.60 |
| Will Otzma win 10 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes | 0.224 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$67.55 |
| Will Together win 20 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes | 0.098 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$81.08 |
| Will Yashar win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.00 |
| Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$121.17 |
| Will Together win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$55.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.70at 0.272Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- +$-0.13at 0.390Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
- +$-0.80at 0.410Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 19:18 | Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.70 |
| 10-27 18:56 | Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.003 | $4.20 |
| 10-27 17:15 | Will Yashar win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.0154142762 | $6.00 |
| 10-27 17:12 | Will Naftali Bennett receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | BUY | 0.0366428461 | $10.00 |
| 10-27 17:10 | Will Together win 20 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.0708432256 | $15.00 |
| 10-27 16:15 | Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.0049968076 | $4.80 |
| 10-27 16:12 | Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.38 | $4.87 |
| 10-27 07:24 | Will Otzma win 10 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.32 | $6.55 |
| 10-27 07:24 | Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.004 | $5.00 |
| 10-27 07:22 | Will Yashar win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.0486913555 | $5.00 |
| 10-27 07:18 | Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.2846400725 | $15.70 |
| 10-27 00:40 | Will Otzma win 10 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.2128543537 | $51.00 |
| 10-26 21:08 | Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.0044875204 | $4.20 |
| 10-26 20:44 | Will Together win 20 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.0993368931 | $15.00 |
| 10-26 20:43 | Will Together win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.051120226 | $25.00 |