0xae45bb28779B089066C273bc9f555A91A4a5941b-1781050185477
0xae45bb28779b089066c273bc9f555a91a4a5941b
- Realised P&L
- $-8.29
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $0.43
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027? · Yes | 0.095 | 0.041 | $0.43 | −$0.57 |
| Will Donald Trump enter Iran by June 30? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Joshua Griffin win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET · Down | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.05 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by June 30? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-3.66at 0.053Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-26 11:38 | Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027? | BUY | 0.0949999211 | $1.00 |
| 06-26 11:30 | Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by June 30? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |
| 06-26 11:26 | Will Donald Trump enter Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.002999997 | $1.00 |
| 06-26 10:57 | Will Joshua Griffin win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.0011423871 | $1.00 |
| 06-10 01:40 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 06-10 00:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET | BUY | 0.0528880866 | $3.66 |