bxmnai73
0xae425fa11110dce89c81e65d7e4ea58b68efa811
- Realised P&L
- $3.71
- Volume
- $2.9k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $35.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · No | 0.997 | 1.000 | $13.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $6.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026? · Yes | 0.970 | 0.967 | $5.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will China become the #2 global art market in 2026? · No | 0.890 | 0.885 | $4.68 | −$0.03 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No | 0.962 | 0.982 | $3.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $3.00 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.00at 0.840Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$0.63at 0.806Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$0.60at 0.930Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$0.46at 0.996Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?
- +$0.41at 0.994Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 05:28 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.99699995 | $13.00 |
| 07-29 05:26 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July? | BUY | 0.9989998345 | $6.00 |
| 07-29 05:24 | Will Carlos Alcaraz Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026? | BUY | 0.9699999968 | $6.00 |
| 07-29 05:22 | Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.00 |
| 06-22 03:39 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June? | BUY | 0.999 | $52.00 |
| 06-22 03:37 | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? | BUY | 0.972999995 | $4.50 |
| 06-22 03:36 | Dota 2: Execration vs Mentality Monster (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs | BUY | 0.88 | $1.10 |
| 06-22 03:34 | Will Solana reach $160 in June? | BUY | 0.999 | $27.90 |
| 06-22 03:31 | Will France win on 2026-06-22? | BUY | 0.9099999835 | $3.30 |
| 06-01 01:48 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 06-01 01:47 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.60 |
| 06-01 01:45 | Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9439999773 | $2.00 |
| 06-01 01:44 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.995 | $23.00 |
| 06-01 01:43 | Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 06-01 01:42 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $15.90 |