0xae3463a77b85498bacf7025c7e09a7d2de6f5b01
0xae3463a77b85498bacf7025c7e09a7d2de6f5b01
- Realised P&L
- $9.12
- Volume
- $86.89
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $4.42
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar10.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.470 | 0.940 | $2.00 | +$1.00 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.615 | $0.93 | −$0.07 |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.710 | 0.535 | $0.75 | −$0.25 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.150 | $0.65 | −$0.35 |
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $165 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.015 | $0.06 | −$0.94 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.007 | $0.02 | −$0.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.97at 0.258Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $184 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$2.82at 0.268Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?
- +$2.33at 0.306Will Andy Burnham say "King" during the next PMQ?
- +$1.61at 0.389Will Trump say "Kamala" during remarks in New York?
- +$1.48at 0.410Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 02:29 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 06:26 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 22:02 | Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 14:00 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 05:53 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $165 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 21:32 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 11:01 | Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 02:45 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.6099997255 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 19:02 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 18:52 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $184 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 15:27 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 06:40 | Will Warsh say "Labor Force" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 22:40 | Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 23:02 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $105 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 00:25 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | BUY | 0.7299994744 | $1.00 |