PolyBot

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Traders

EUfirst

0xae31c5daff96da901abfbebcff6fd81c0c367fa1

Realised P&L
$-7.0k
Volume
$1.05M
Markets traded
406
Open portfolio
$2.31

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded406
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Mario Draghi be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · Yes0.0290.012$2.31−$3.24
Meta (META) Up or Down on July 31? · Down0.2500.000$0.00−$6.25
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00−$30.00
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $520 in July? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$10.50
Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France? · No0.0570.000$0.00−$17.09
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 31? · Down0.2000.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $500 in July? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00−$12.85
Will Trump's approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on July 17, 2026? · No0.3900.000$0.00−$39.00
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00−$108.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 11:05S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 31?BUY0.2$10.00
07-31 10:55Meta (META) Up or Down on July 31?BUY0.25$6.25
07-31 10:51Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $500 in July?BUY0.0099090992$10.90
07-31 10:50Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $520 in July?BUY0.07$10.50
07-16 06:11Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?BUY0.36$108.00
07-16 05:58Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France?BUY0.0569706667$17.09
07-16 05:32Will Mario Draghi be the next Prime Minister of Italy?BUY0.03$3.75
07-16 05:31Will Mario Draghi be the next Prime Minister of Italy?BUY0.0267451185$1.79
07-16 05:26Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.4199999944$30.00
07-16 05:04Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.6558373206$137.07
07-16 05:03Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.655$52.83
07-16 05:02Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.654$3.27
07-16 04:54Will Trump's approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on July 17, 2026?BUY0.39$39.00
06-24 19:19Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?BUY0.006$9.10
06-24 01:53Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the June meeting?BUY0.08$11.12