PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

EUfirst

0xae31c5daff96da901abfbebcff6fd81c0c367fa1

Realised P&L
$-6.2k
Volume
$1.05M
Markets traded
406
Open portfolio
$92.38

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded406
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration94.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.3600.290$87.00$21.00
Will Mario Draghi be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · Yes0.0290.028$5.38$0.17
Meta (META) Up or Down on July 31? · Down0.2500.000$0.00$6.25
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00$30.00
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $520 in July? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$10.50
Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France? · No0.0570.000$0.00$17.09
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 31? · Down0.2000.000$0.00$10.00
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $500 in July? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$12.85
Will Trump's approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on July 17, 2026? · No0.3900.000$0.00$39.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 11:05S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 31?BUY0.2$10.00
07-31 10:55Meta (META) Up or Down on July 31?BUY0.25$6.25
07-31 10:51Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $500 in July?BUY0.0099090992$10.90
07-31 10:50Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $520 in July?BUY0.07$10.50
07-16 06:11Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?BUY0.36$108.00
07-16 05:58Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France?BUY0.0569706667$17.09
07-16 05:32Will Mario Draghi be the next Prime Minister of Italy?BUY0.03$3.75
07-16 05:31Will Mario Draghi be the next Prime Minister of Italy?BUY0.0267451185$1.79
07-16 05:26Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.4199999944$30.00
07-16 05:04Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.6558373206$137.07
07-16 05:03Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.655$52.83
07-16 05:02Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.654$3.27
07-16 04:54Will Trump's approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on July 17, 2026?BUY0.39$39.00
06-24 19:19Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?BUY0.006$9.10
06-24 01:53Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the June meeting?BUY0.08$11.12