deron
0xae2b8bc0283181cce4f07b28bbe237596a419cc3
- Realised P&L
- $7.0k
- Volume
- $5.06M
- Markets traded
- 1,172
- Open portfolio
- $12.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,172
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MOUZ Win the StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026? · No | 0.925 | 0.880 | $8.8k | −$449.75 |
| Will Levante UD vs. Athletic Club end in a draw? · No | 0.720 | 0.670 | $3.3k | −$250.00 |
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs · MOUZ | 0.578 | 0.565 | $245.28 | −$5.61 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner · FURIA | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$606.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.7kat 0.461England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$5.9kat 0.344LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 4 Winner
- +$5.3kat 0.645Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?
- +$4.9kat 0.385Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Wildcard (+1.5)
- +$4.4kat 0.433Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s French Open?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 20:50 | Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs | BUY | 0.59 | $101.43 |
| 09-18 17:10 | LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winner | SELL | 0.37 | $716.66 |
| 09-18 14:53 | Counter-Strike: magic vs MIBR (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs | SELL | 0.67 | $188.89 |
| 09-18 12:58 | Counter-Strike: magic vs MIBR - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.39 | $14.60 |
| 09-18 11:58 | LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $1.9k |
| 09-18 11:54 | Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner | SELL | 0.28 | $14.00 |
| 09-18 11:48 | Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner | SELL | 0.46 | $7.36 |
| 09-18 10:59 | Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.64 | $620.51 |
| 09-18 10:52 | Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs | SELL | 0.4 | $130.15 |
| 09-18 09:57 | Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner | SELL | 0.41 | $224.27 |
| 09-18 07:34 | Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs | BUY | 0.63 | $3.9k |
| 09-18 07:15 | Will MOUZ Win the StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.7k |
| 09-18 07:14 | Will Natus Vincere Win the StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026? | BUY | 0.968 | $3.2k |
| 09-17 16:06 | Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs | BUY | 0.69 | $98.64 |
| 09-17 11:58 | Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs NRG (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs | BUY | 0.21 | $630.00 |