0xAe288835f31bd52eEa4990E3f2485a0299F57435-1770990670414
0xae288835f31bd52eea4990e3f2485a0299f57435
- Realised P&L
- $-24.86
- Volume
- $4.5k
- Markets traded
- 222
- Open portfolio
- $36.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded222
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.45at 0.700Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on March 24?
- +$23.48at 0.814Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C on March 25?
- +$14.35at 0.800Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C on March 24?
- +$14.21at 0.900Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 18°C on March 26?
- +$9.76at 0.830Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on March 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 09:22 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.35 | $4.90 |
| 10-13 09:21 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.65 | $5.20 |
| 10-13 09:21 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.42 | $4.20 |
| 10-13 09:19 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.49 | $4.90 |
| 10-13 09:19 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.65 | $5.20 |
| 10-11 18:53 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on October 12? | BUY | 0.56 | $4.48 |
| 10-11 18:52 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.58 | $4.64 |
| 10-11 18:52 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.6 | $4.80 |
| 10-11 18:51 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on October 12? | BUY | 0.56 | $4.48 |
| 10-10 17:02 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 10? | BUY | 0.52 | $3.64 |
| 10-10 17:01 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.36 | $3.60 |
| 10-10 17:00 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.58 | $4.06 |
| 10-07 14:58 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.66 | $3.30 |
| 10-07 14:57 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 7? | BUY | 0.63 | $3.15 |
| 08-27 08:05 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on August 28? | BUY | 0.74 | $14.80 |