PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xAe288835f31bd52eEa4990E3f2485a0299F57435-1770990670414

0xae288835f31bd52eea4990e3f2485a0299f57435

Realised P&L
$-24.86
Volume
$4.5k
Markets traded
222
Open portfolio
$36.19

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded222
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration5.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 13? · Yes0.3500.630$8.81+$3.92
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 13? · Yes0.3500.570$7.98+$3.08
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 14? · Yes0.6500.655$5.24+$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 13? · Yes0.4900.480$4.80−$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 14? · Yes0.6500.595$4.76−$0.44
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on October 14? · Yes0.4200.460$4.60+$0.40
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on August 25? · No0.7500.000$0.00−$4.50
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on August 14? · No0.6600.000$0.00−$3.96
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on August 24? · No0.6900.000$0.00−$5.52
Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on August 4? · No0.7000.000$0.00−$3.50
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 18? · No0.7100.000$0.00−$6.39
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 11? · No0.3800.000$0.00−$3.42
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 6? · No0.2600.000$0.00−$4.68
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on July 17? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00−$3.06
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on October 6? · No0.2800.000$0.00−$4.48

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 09:22Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 13?BUY0.35$4.90
10-13 09:21Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 14?BUY0.65$5.20
10-13 09:21Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on October 14?BUY0.42$4.20
10-13 09:19Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 13?BUY0.49$4.90
10-13 09:19Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 14?BUY0.65$5.20
10-11 18:53Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on October 12?BUY0.56$4.48
10-11 18:52Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 12?BUY0.58$4.64
10-11 18:52Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 12?BUY0.6$4.80
10-11 18:51Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on October 12?BUY0.56$4.48
10-10 17:02Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 10?BUY0.52$3.64
10-10 17:01Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on October 11?BUY0.36$3.60
10-10 17:00Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 11?BUY0.58$4.06
10-07 14:58Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 7?BUY0.66$3.30
10-07 14:57Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 7?BUY0.63$3.15
08-27 08:05Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on August 28?BUY0.74$14.80