TomatodeChris
0xae26750d420a0f1c0396776545bd8ff6e21585c7
- Realised P&L
- $-0.52
- Volume
- $111.27
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $49.30
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Wang Mei-hui win the next Chiayi City Mayor election? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.735 | $12.57 | −$0.43 |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.675 | $9.93 | −$0.07 |
| Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.750 | $9.38 | −$0.63 |
| Will Lin Kuo-chang win the next Yilan County Magistrate election? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.600 | $9.23 | −$0.77 |
| Will Cheng Chao-fang win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.590 | $8.19 | −$1.81 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.68at 0.710Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 31?
- +$-0.08at 0.660Will Adama Barrow win the 2026 Gambian presidential election?
- +$-0.44at 0.900Will José Maria Neves win the Cape Verde presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 17:39 | Will Wang Mei-hui win the next Chiayi City Mayor election? | BUY | 0.759999993 | $13.00 |
| 10-29 16:36 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 31? | BUY | 0.7099999961 | $9.00 |
| 10-29 16:25 | Will Lin Kuo-chang win the next Yilan County Magistrate election? | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $10.00 |
| 10-29 16:25 | Will Cheng Chao-fang win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election? | BUY | 0.7199999942 | $10.00 |
| 10-29 16:24 | Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? | BUY | 0.8 | $10.00 |
| 10-29 16:22 | Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.6799999946 | $10.00 |
| 10-26 11:03 | Will José Maria Neves win the Cape Verde presidential election? | SELL | 0.82 | $4.55 |
| 10-26 11:02 | Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | SELL | 0.63 | $5.00 |
| 10-25 00:42 | Will Adama Barrow win the 2026 Gambian presidential election? | SELL | 0.65 | $4.92 |
| 10-22 17:28 | Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.629999995 | $5.00 |
| 10-22 17:27 | Will José Maria Neves win the Cape Verde presidential election? | BUY | 0.9 | $5.00 |
| 10-22 17:25 | Will Adama Barrow win the 2026 Gambian presidential election? | BUY | 0.659999963 | $5.00 |