mrx19876868
0xae25a2706495e787d018d71d66fbbd94bbb9aaf4
- Realised P&L
- $-99.27
- Volume
- $4.4k
- Markets traded
- 66
- Open portfolio
- $78.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded66
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.440 | $34.22 | −$0.78 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.175 | $20.58 | −$4.12 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.633 | 0.117 | $17.67 | −$78.33 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.039 | $1.56 | −$8.44 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.065 | $1.14 | −$8.86 |
| Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.042 | $1.09 | −$8.91 |
| Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.065 | $1.08 | −$8.92 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.029 | $0.97 | −$4.03 |
| Will Solana dip to $30 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.016 | $0.19 | −$2.81 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.52at 0.327Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?
- +$9.54at 0.427Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
- +$7.38at 0.213Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$6.37at 0.123Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
- +$3.83at 0.149Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 15:15 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999993 | $24.70 |
| 10-30 15:14 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499999987 | $35.00 |
| 08-23 11:17 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in August? | SELL | 0.0061728734 | $2.45 |
| 08-23 11:17 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in August? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.13 |
| 08-10 14:58 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in August? | BUY | 0.1399999922 | $15.00 |
| 08-09 23:39 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in August? | BUY | 0.1299999942 | $19.00 |
| 08-09 15:11 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in August? | SELL | 0.25 | $21.32 |
| 08-06 12:26 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in August? | BUY | 0.3399999948 | $29.00 |
| 08-05 15:16 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in August? | SELL | 0.4 | $31.86 |
| 08-04 08:26 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in August? | BUY | 0.4799999827 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 08:25 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in August? | BUY | 0.2599999935 | $20.00 |
| 08-02 14:41 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5037036916 | $12.00 |
| 08-02 12:20 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in August? | BUY | 0.149999976 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 12:20 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in August? | BUY | 0.2999999925 | $20.00 |
| 08-02 12:20 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in August? | BUY | 0.5099999952 | $30.00 |