ggeegg
0xae128d1d5181f29711f112691b02cfa8a58cfda4
- Realised P&L
- $-109.29
- Volume
- $573.04
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $58.56
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-19.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? · Yes | 0.529 | 0.195 | $58.56 | −$100.44 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 7? · Yes | 0.159 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.05at 0.780Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.520Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
- +$-0.41at 0.490Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-21 08:01 | Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? | SELL | 0.48 | $19.59 |
| 02-17 04:29 | Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? | BUY | 0.5442708214 | $19.00 |
| 02-14 12:00 | Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | SELL | 0.7821138846 | $20.05 |
| 02-14 03:44 | Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? | BUY | 0.5282392021 | $30.00 |
| 02-13 07:29 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | SELL | 0.52 | $20.00 |
| 02-09 04:01 | Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? | BUY | 0.52423343 | $100.00 |
| 02-07 09:15 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5199999938 | $20.00 |
| 02-07 09:15 | Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.4899999939 | $20.00 |
| 02-07 09:11 | Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | BUY | 0.7799999719 | $20.00 |
| 02-07 09:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 7? | BUY | 0.1589999886 | $10.00 |
| 02-05 06:35 | Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? | BUY | 0.5599999776 | $10.00 |