0xae0f3b1AA825646A80bB74481a94Da56c5c740f9-1744290884607
0xae0f3b1aa825646a80bb74481a94da56c5c740f9
- Realised P&L
- $-4.8k
- Volume
- $83.3k
- Markets traded
- 107
- Open portfolio
- $256.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded107
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$195.99at 0.390Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?
- +$194.73at 0.190Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
- +$161.54at 0.130Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?
- +$89.79at 0.388Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?
- +$82.87at 0.488Will Ukraine finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 19:38 | Will Russia target Kyiv on September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.3154929577 | $7.00 |
| 09-13 17:09 | Will Russia target Kyiv on September 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 17:06 | Will Russia target Kyiv on September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999794 | $2.53 |
| 09-12 19:55 | Will Russia target Kyiv on September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999857 | $5.00 |
| 09-12 19:54 | Will Russia target Kyiv on September 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $4.00 |
| 09-12 19:50 | Will Russia target Kyiv on September 12, 2026? | SELL | 0.8340441044 | $9.27 |
| 09-11 18:08 | Will Russia target Kyiv on September 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999928 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 22:27 | Will Russia target Kyiv on September 11, 2026? | SELL | 0.944 | $2.10 |
| 09-08 22:46 | Will Russia target Kyiv on September 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 22:38 | Will Russia target Kyiv on September 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 21:03 | Will Russia target Kyiv on September 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.116 | $6.96 |
| 09-05 19:47 | Will Russia target Kyiv on September 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $4.00 |
| 09-04 20:42 | Will Russia target Kyiv on September 6, 2026? | SELL | 0.3 | $6.00 |
| 08-28 12:55 | Will Russia target Kyiv on August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $10.00 |
| 08-28 12:46 | Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | SELL | 0.5418829802 | $440.10 |