PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xae0f3b1AA825646A80bB74481a94Da56c5c740f9-1744290884607

0xae0f3b1aa825646a80bb74481a94da56c5c740f9

Realised P&L
$-4.8k
Volume
$83.3k
Markets traded
107
Open portfolio
$256.35

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded107
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 4, 2026? · Yes0.5500.956$19.11+$8.11
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 14, 2026? · Yes0.5500.855$17.10+$6.10
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 13, 2026? · Yes0.5500.855$17.10+$6.10
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 15, 2026? · Yes0.5500.850$17.00+$6.00
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? · No0.4940.405$12.30−$2.70
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 20, 2026? · Yes0.5300.535$10.70+$0.10
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026? · Yes0.5500.530$10.60−$0.40
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 28, 2026? · Yes0.5500.525$10.50−$0.50
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 19, 2026? · Yes0.5500.525$10.50−$0.50
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 29, 2026? · Yes0.5200.520$10.40+$0.00
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 21, 2026? · Yes0.5300.510$10.20−$0.40
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 18, 2026? · Yes0.5500.510$10.20−$0.80
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 22, 2026? · Yes0.5500.505$10.10−$0.90
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 31, 2026? · Yes0.5200.505$10.10−$0.30
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 25, 2026? · Yes0.5500.500$10.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 19:38Will Russia target Kyiv on September 23, 2026?BUY0.3154929577$7.00
09-13 17:09Will Russia target Kyiv on September 17, 2026?BUY0.219999978$2.00
09-13 17:06Will Russia target Kyiv on September 14, 2026?BUY0.2599999794$2.53
09-12 19:55Will Russia target Kyiv on September 29, 2026?BUY0.3099999857$5.00
09-12 19:54Will Russia target Kyiv on September 26, 2026?BUY0.2599999896$4.00
09-12 19:50Will Russia target Kyiv on September 12, 2026?SELL0.8340441044$9.27
09-11 18:08Will Russia target Kyiv on September 12, 2026?BUY0.0899999928$1.00
09-10 22:27Will Russia target Kyiv on September 11, 2026?SELL0.944$2.10
09-08 22:46Will Russia target Kyiv on September 10, 2026?BUY0.16$1.00
09-08 22:38Will Russia target Kyiv on September 9, 2026?BUY0.0699999965$1.00
09-07 21:03Will Russia target Kyiv on September 7, 2026?SELL0.116$6.96
09-05 19:47Will Russia target Kyiv on September 7, 2026?BUY0.1$4.00
09-04 20:42Will Russia target Kyiv on September 6, 2026?SELL0.3$6.00
08-28 12:55Will Russia target Kyiv on August 31, 2026?BUY0.4$10.00
08-28 12:46Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?SELL0.5418829802$440.10