0xae0dcf7ca25d1ddbb6bc220cca00bd5be9065281
0xae0dcf7ca25d1ddbb6bc220cca00bd5be9065281
- Realised P&L
- $2.35
- Volume
- $219.69
- Markets traded
- 93
- Open portfolio
- $3.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded93
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026? · No | 0.340 | 0.860 | $2.53 | +$1.53 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 22? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.710 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.73at 0.217Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $730 Week of October 12 2026?
- +$3.51at 0.227Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on September 22?
- +$2.97at 0.258Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $975B by September 30?
- +$2.31at 0.308Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $350 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$2.00at 0.339Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $65 Week of September 14 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 14:57 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 22? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 04:16 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 08:18 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $207 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 23:59 | Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 23:47 | Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 01:04 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $220 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 23:17 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $730 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 02:49 | Will Unity Bancorp (UNTY) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 18:48 | Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q3 investment banking fees be above $3.2B? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 06:29 | Will Interactive Brokers (IBKR) Q3 net interest income be above $1.1B? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 21:23 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 23:14 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $525 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 15:13 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $189 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 06:21 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 22:11 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1? | BUY | 0.6459998398 | $1.00 |