PolyBot

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Traders

0xae0d4f3a93d2f8ceb94c8ccb84806916c09924c6

0xae0d4f3a93d2f8ceb94c8ccb84806916c09924c6

Realised P&L
$-2.89
Volume
$53.67
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$1.94

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)43.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $190 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes0.7200.680$0.97$0.06
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $365 Week of September 21 2026? · No0.7600.505$0.68$0.35
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? · No0.2500.036$0.15$0.88
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · No0.3700.048$0.13$0.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 06:04Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $190 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.7199998882$1.03
09-20 22:03Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $365 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.7599999115$1.03
09-19 23:08US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?BUY0.25$1.03
09-19 06:05Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?BUY0.3699999713$1.03
09-14 05:53Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.389999947$1.03
09-13 21:52Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $117.50 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.32$1.03
09-08 10:24US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.6799999472$1.03
09-08 00:30Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $127.50 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.3299999071$1.03
09-02 12:07Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $256 Week of August 31 2026?BUY0.8$1.03
08-29 00:48Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 4, 2026?BUY0.3299997982$1.03
08-27 16:45Will Trump say "SpaceX" during remarks at NASA?BUY0.25$1.03
08-27 08:45Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?BUY0.3499997961$1.03
08-26 12:44SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 26?BUY0.6199998917$1.03
08-26 02:57Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?BUY0.6999993883$1.03
08-25 12:47Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $183 Week of August 24 2026?BUY0.2699998663$1.03