0xae0d4f3a93d2f8ceb94c8ccb84806916c09924c6
0xae0d4f3a93d2f8ceb94c8ccb84806916c09924c6
- Realised P&L
- $-2.89
- Volume
- $53.67
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $1.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)43.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $190 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.680 | $0.97 | −$0.06 |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $365 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.760 | 0.505 | $0.68 | −$0.35 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? · No | 0.250 | 0.036 | $0.15 | −$0.88 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · No | 0.370 | 0.048 | $0.13 | −$0.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.16at 0.329Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $117.50 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$2.06at 0.339Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $127.50 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$0.62at 0.629SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 26?
- +$0.62at 0.629Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $78 Week of August 24 2026?
- +$0.48at 0.680US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 06:04 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $190 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7199998882 | $1.03 |
| 09-20 22:03 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $365 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999115 | $1.03 |
| 09-19 23:08 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.03 |
| 09-19 06:05 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.3699999713 | $1.03 |
| 09-14 05:53 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.389999947 | $1.03 |
| 09-13 21:52 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $117.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.03 |
| 09-08 10:24 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.6799999472 | $1.03 |
| 09-08 00:30 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $127.50 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.3299999071 | $1.03 |
| 09-02 12:07 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $256 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.03 |
| 08-29 00:48 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.3299997982 | $1.03 |
| 08-27 16:45 | Will Trump say "SpaceX" during remarks at NASA? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.03 |
| 08-27 08:45 | Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28? | BUY | 0.3499997961 | $1.03 |
| 08-26 12:44 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 26? | BUY | 0.6199998917 | $1.03 |
| 08-26 02:57 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.6999993883 | $1.03 |
| 08-25 12:47 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $183 Week of August 24 2026? | BUY | 0.2699998663 | $1.03 |