PolyBot

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Traders

0xae0893220d96e68bd4fe4428fa96ed2d1650f155

0xae0893220d96e68bd4fe4428fa96ed2d1650f155

Realised P&L
$-3.05
Volume
$1.4k
Markets traded
343
Open portfolio
$13.51

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded343
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? · No0.6000.895$3.73+$1.23
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027? · Yes0.7900.979$3.10+$0.60
Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? · Yes0.7500.615$1.80−$0.39
Will Trump say "Vegan" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? · No0.8300.845$1.49+$0.03
Will Trump say "Columbus" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? · Yes0.8300.760$1.34−$0.12
Will Trump say "Border" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? · Yes0.6900.725$1.09+$0.05
Will BlackRock (BLK) Q3 quarterly total net inflows be above $225B? · No0.8200.800$0.98−$0.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-04 13:37Will the Green Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?BUY0.4599999719$2.29
05-04 13:20Will the Green Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?BUY0.3099999122$1.66
05-03 12:50Will the Conservative Party win at least 400 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?BUY0.49$2.45
04-28 02:15Will Trump say "Elizabeth" during King Charles visit?BUY0.4099999437$2.04
04-27 14:50Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $144 end of April?BUY0.48$2.40
04-27 14:31Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?BUY0.2160133692$2.01
04-27 13:32Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $270 end of April?BUY0.3669999127$1.96
04-27 11:26Will Google (GOOGL) close above $330 end of April?BUY0.24$2.22
04-24 14:30Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $205 on April 24?BUY0.189999938$2.26
04-24 05:14Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (April 20 - 26)BUY0.3$1.42
04-23 16:17Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $380 on April 23?BUY0.4619998949$2.22
04-20 14:38Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 on April 20?BUY0.35$2.32
04-20 14:32Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 on April 20?BUY0.4599999233$2.30
04-20 01:44Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $410 on April 20?BUY0.4199999624$2.35
04-20 01:26Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026?BUY0.2299998993$1.37