PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

bayareahouseparty

0xae0476c8ec5d2c04031262efa22c7c89b332511a

Realised P&L
$-544.57
Volume
$3.8k
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$55.43

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-14.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
CautionOpen concentration54.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1020.025$29.92$90.08
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.2400.040$16.46$83.54
NATO dissolves before 2027? · Yes0.0960.015$9.05$50.95
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00$100.00
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? · Yes0.1980.000$0.00$200.00
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026? · Yes0.0950.000$0.00$20.00

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-14 23:41US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?BUY0.1799999987$100.00
01-14 23:35NATO dissolves before 2027?BUY0.0961267335$60.00
01-14 23:32Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?BUY0.0949999961$20.00
01-14 23:23Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?BUY0.2399999986$100.00
01-14 23:18US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?BUY0.1022800634$120.00
01-14 23:14US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?BUY0.2199999985$100.00
01-14 23:14Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?BUY0.309999998$100.00