PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xaDFf41622416865DEd0973DAe22fd3F8A8836b58-1781987523354

0xadff41622416865ded0973dae22fd3f8a8836b58

Realised P&L
$-32.36
Volume
$1.9k
Markets traded
56
Open portfolio
$3.95

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded56
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)81.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Latvia win on 2026-09-28? · Yes0.3700.370$1.00+$0.00
Will Montenegro win on 2026-09-28? · Yes0.3800.375$0.99−$0.01
Will Georgia vs. Ukraine end in a draw? · Yes0.3100.305$0.98−$0.02
Will Belgium win on 2026-09-28? · Yes0.2600.255$0.98−$0.02
Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? · Yes0.1150.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.6590.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5310.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00−$1.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3840.000$0.00−$4.96
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$0.74
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00−$6.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-27 16:59Will Belgium win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.2599999896$1.00
09-27 16:58Will Latvia win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.3699999593$1.00
09-27 16:58Will Montenegro win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.3799999924$1.00
09-27 16:57Will Georgia vs. Ukraine end in a draw?BUY0.3099999473$1.00
09-27 16:57Will Greece win on 2026-09-27?BUY0.1299999948$1.00
09-27 16:56Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-09-27?BUY0.3599999712$1.00
09-27 16:56Will Norway win on 2026-09-27?BUY0.4299998882$1.00
09-20 05:10Sri Lanka Tour of England ODIs: England vs Sri LankaBUY0.32$1.00
09-20 05:09Australia U19 Tour of India Youth ODIs: India Under-19s vs Australia Under-19sBUY0.4499998425$1.00
07-19 18:20Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4124999557$5.00
07-18 21:25Will France win on 2026-07-18?BUY0.1699998861$1.00
07-18 21:20France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.2799998432$1.00
07-18 21:19France vs. England: Team to WinSELL0.73$4.42
07-18 19:30France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.3299998927$2.00
07-16 07:25Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.005$0.03