0xaDFf41622416865DEd0973DAe22fd3F8A8836b58-1781987523354
0xadff41622416865ded0973dae22fd3f8a8836b58
- Realised P&L
- $-32.36
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $3.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Latvia win on 2026-09-28? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.370 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Montenegro win on 2026-09-28? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.375 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Georgia vs. Ukraine end in a draw? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.305 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-09-28? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.255 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? · Yes | 0.115 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.659 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.531 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.384 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.96 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.74 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-26? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.65at 0.136Will Greece win on 2026-09-27?
- +$5.39at 0.159Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$3.98at 0.205Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$2.30at 0.341France vs. England: Team to Win
- +$2.09at 0.331Sri Lanka Tour of England ODIs: England vs Sri Lanka
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 16:59 | Will Belgium win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 16:58 | Will Latvia win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 16:58 | Will Montenegro win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 16:57 | Will Georgia vs. Ukraine end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 16:57 | Will Greece win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 16:56 | Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 16:56 | Will Norway win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 05:10 | Sri Lanka Tour of England ODIs: England vs Sri Lanka | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 05:09 | Australia U19 Tour of India Youth ODIs: India Under-19s vs Australia Under-19s | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 18:20 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4124999557 | $5.00 |
| 07-18 21:25 | Will France win on 2026-07-18? | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 21:20 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 21:19 | France vs. England: Team to Win | SELL | 0.73 | $4.42 |
| 07-18 19:30 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.3299998927 | $2.00 |
| 07-16 07:25 | Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.03 |