Kilorth
0xadf65c68507f5408536e7e3e84c9af3c928f704e
- Realised P&L
- $70.03
- Volume
- $10.2k
- Markets traded
- 89
- Open portfolio
- $40.65
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded89
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration98.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$143.41at 0.570 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$0.26at 0.810Will Meta have a #1 AI model this year?
- +$0.25at 0.830Will a Republican win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$0.22at 0.890Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?
- +$0.16at 0.870Will Gold close at $2,500-2,600 at the end of 2024?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-19 17:11 | Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.9049997906 | $3.50 |
| 06-14 20:13 | Will Aster reach $2.20 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $2.00 |
| 06-14 20:12 | Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027? | BUY | 0.9349999766 | $2.00 |
| 06-14 20:11 | Base FDV above $10B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7399999457 | $3.00 |
| 06-14 20:07 | Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7399999457 | $3.00 |
| 06-14 20:05 | Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999416 | $3.00 |
| 06-14 20:04 | Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8399998096 | $3.00 |
| 06-14 20:02 | Will Mistral have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $4.89 |
| 03-12 18:07 | Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.995 | $6.67 |
| 02-19 16:51 | Will Perplexity AI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 02-19 16:50 | Will Mistral have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $5.00 |
| 02-19 16:50 | Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.9779998845 | $5.40 |
| 02-19 16:50 | Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9839999988 | $6.60 |
| 02-19 16:50 | Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.9869999994 | $10.60 |
| 11-12 18:28 | Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? | BUY | 0.9409997285 | $2.00 |