PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Kilorth

0xadf65c68507f5408536e7e3e84c9af3c928f704e

Realised P&L
$70.03
Volume
$10.2k
Markets traded
89
Open portfolio
$40.65

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded89
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration98.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.9870.993$10.66+$0.06
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.9780.997$5.50+$0.10
Will Perplexity AI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · No0.9991.000$5.00+$0.00
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.7300.935$3.84+$0.84
Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.8400.915$3.27+$0.27
Base FDV above $10B one day after launch? · No0.7400.735$2.98$0.02
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.7400.663$2.69$0.31
Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.9050.686$2.65$0.84
Will Aster reach $2.20 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9400.955$2.03+$0.03
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027? · No0.9350.947$2.02+$0.02
Minnesota Twins sale announced before July? · Yes0.9600.000$0.00$1.05
New Pope before July? · No0.9000.000$0.00$1.10
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · No0.5300.000$0.00$0.53
Will there be less than 16 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season? · Yes0.7900.000$0.00$1.60
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 10? · No0.3800.000$0.00$64.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-19 17:11Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2027?BUY0.9049997906$3.50
06-14 20:13Will Aster reach $2.20 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.94$2.00
06-14 20:12Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?BUY0.9349999766$2.00
06-14 20:11Base FDV above $10B one day after launch?BUY0.7399999457$3.00
06-14 20:07Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.7399999457$3.00
06-14 20:05Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7299999416$3.00
06-14 20:04Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch?BUY0.8399998096$3.00
06-14 20:02Will Mistral have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?SELL0.998$4.89
03-12 18:07Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?SELL0.995$6.67
02-19 16:51Will Perplexity AI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.999$5.00
02-19 16:50Will Mistral have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?BUY0.997$5.00
02-19 16:50Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.9779998845$5.40
02-19 16:50Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?BUY0.9839999988$6.60
02-19 16:50Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.9869999994$10.60
11-12 18:28Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?BUY0.9409997285$2.00