sewtf
0xadf4860a7e06edb810985e499bc13df271f6e6b8
- Realised P&L
- $1.33
- Volume
- $6.0k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $6.75
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration28.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.270 | $6.75 | −$0.25 |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.07at 0.487Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
- +$0.85at 0.540Will Ethereum dip to $3300 in August?
- +$0.56at 0.640Will Darren Criss win the Tony for Best Leading Actor in a Musical 2025?
- +$0.56at 0.640More EU sanctions on Russia by March 31?
- +$0.42at 0.706Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 16:57 | Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? | BUY | 0.28 | $7.00 |
| 06-12 08:52 | Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | BUY | 0.4799998272 | $1.00 |
| 06-11 13:44 | Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 06-11 13:43 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 02-27 12:45 | More EU sanctions on Russia by March 31? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 12-29 13:45 | Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025? | SELL | 0.857 | $0.99 |
| 12-29 13:45 | Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025? | BUY | 0.985 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 02:22 | Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 02:20 | Democratic sweep? | SELL | 0.82 | $1.03 |
| 09-23 13:31 | Democratic sweep? | BUY | 0.7899999921 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 07:29 | Will Ethereum dip to $3300 in August? | BUY | 0.54 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 07:28 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.55 | $0.93 |
| 07-26 16:24 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 06-28 05:39 | Will Ethereum hit $2k or $3k first? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 05-25 13:55 | Will Darren Criss win the Tony for Best Leading Actor in a Musical 2025? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |