PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xadf3fE81c99923655AB4953a242A6B12342e7916-1774966799507

0xadf3fe81c99923655ab4953a242a6b12342e7916

Realised P&L
$-159.31
Volume
$6.1k
Markets traded
127
Open portfolio
$16.31

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded127
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration85.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-09-16? · Yes0.5900.585$13.88$0.12
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-16? · Yes0.2800.315$2.43+$0.27
Will Zamalek SC win on 2026-04-27? · Yes0.5650.000$0.00$4.72
Will UMF Stjarnan win on 2026-07-16? · Yes0.4400.000$0.00$8.02
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-09-12? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00$1.53
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-02? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00$9.72
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-04-19? · Yes0.4250.000$0.00$5.71
Will Everton FC win on 2026-09-12? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$5.00
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-18? · Yes0.5260.000$0.00$24.42
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-13? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00$16.00
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-08-29? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00$4.14
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$7.00
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-09? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00$5.20
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-08-17? · Yes0.5300.000$0.00$6.05
Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes0.4070.000$0.00$13.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 21:54Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.2799999896$2.16
09-15 21:53Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.589999989$14.00
09-15 21:04Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?BUY0.875$14.47
09-15 21:02Will Fulham FC win on 2026-09-15?SELL0.999$14.54
09-15 17:46Will Fulham FC win on 2026-09-15?BUY0.379999989$5.53
09-15 12:27Will Shanghai Port FC win on 2026-09-15?SELL0.999$5.72
09-14 20:55Will Shanghai Port FC win on 2026-09-15?BUY0.4199999442$2.41
09-14 20:54Will Al Nassr Club win on 2026-09-15?BUY0.619999977$7.00
09-14 14:04Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-14?BUY0.2999999887$5.29
09-14 14:03Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?SELL0.13$5.70
09-13 21:56Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?BUY0.1499999989$6.58
09-13 21:55Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-14?SELL0.62$7.04
09-13 21:01Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-14?BUY0.6299999877$7.16
09-13 21:00Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-13?SELL0.999$7.29
09-13 18:07Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-13?BUY0.459999989$3.36