PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Kactus

0xadf18a599d0c73e432d042ad6d922051ae796460

Realised P&L
$3.7k
Volume
$94.3k
Markets traded
497
Open portfolio
$2.6k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.9%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded497
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.645$1.3k+$290.00
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.355$710.00−$290.00
Will no Lemonade Stand episode air? · No0.9050.971$235.67+$15.91
Will Andy Burnham say "Reform" during the next PMQ? · No0.8670.986$186.99+$22.55
Will Andy Burnham say "NHS" during the next PMQ? · No0.9330.994$69.58+$4.27
Will Andy Burnham say "King" or "Queen" during the next PMQ? · No0.9710.994$24.44+$0.56
Will anyone say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during South Park E2 S29? · No0.7500.900$22.51+$3.75
Will Andy Burnham say "Mr Speaker" 12+ times during the next PMQ? · No0.9700.992$19.83+$0.43
Will Andy Burnham not participate in the next PMQ? · No0.0680.046$13.93−$6.59

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 10:05Will anyone say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during South Park E2 S29?SELL0.91$4.55
09-28 09:50Will anyone say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during South Park E2 S29?BUY0.75$22.50
09-28 06:01Will anyone say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during South Park E2 S29?BUY0.06$1.80
09-28 05:50Will anyone say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during South Park E2 S29?BUY0.48$14.40
09-28 05:48Will anyone say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during South Park E2 S29?BUY0.52$15.61
09-28 03:24Will no Lemonade Stand episode air?BUY0.071$0.37
09-28 02:58Will anyone say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during South Park E2 S29?BUY0.66$19.80
09-28 01:15Will no Lemonade Stand episode air?BUY0.8815833333$63.47
09-27 22:03Will anyone say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during South Park E2 S29?SELL0.91$5.86
09-27 22:01Will anyone say "Iran" during South Park E2 S29?SELL0.9$16.74
09-27 14:14Will anyone say "Iran" during South Park E2 S29?BUY0.61$18.30
09-27 14:06Will anyone say "Kenny" 5+ times during South Park E2 S29?BUY0.31$9.30
09-27 14:01Will anyone say "Kenny" 5+ times during South Park E2 S29?BUY0.52$15.60
09-27 13:43Will anyone say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during South Park E2 S29?BUY0.0796721311$4.86
09-27 13:17Will anyone say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during South Park E2 S29?BUY0.75$45.00