PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

farmerjoey

0xadf0c0e6d628b1e29d46075c1b215b70d5b89c3b

Realised P&L
$-463.59
Volume
$3.1k
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$18.40

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-15.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration59.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)14.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? · Yes0.0890.096$10.70+$0.70
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison? · Yes0.0300.027$4.43$0.57
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.2300.004$1.52$98.48
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes0.3100.004$1.45$98.55
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison? · Yes0.1700.010$0.29$4.71
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2025 Drivers Champion? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$10.00
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion? · Yes0.2590.000$0.00$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-06 16:29Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?BUY0.1699999759$5.00
03-06 16:28Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?BUY0.0304504248$5.00
03-06 16:28Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?BUY0.0892268754$10.00
03-06 16:22Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?BUY0.3098277358$100.00
02-20 15:36Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.2299999986$100.00
01-10 10:09UFC 324: Nunes vs. Harrison (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)BUY0.3581989715$50.00
04-21 16:57Tiger Woods x Vanessa Trump engaged in 2025?BUY0.1499999887$10.00
04-21 16:54Ryan Reynolds & Blake Lively divorce in 2025?BUY0.149999994$20.00
04-21 16:53Will the next James Bond be British?BUY0.7199999741$20.00
04-21 16:53Did the FBI destroy Epstein files?BUY0.1099999913$10.00
04-21 16:43Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?BUY0.2339999884$15.00
04-21 16:41Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?BUY0.3$15.00
03-11 16:23New Pope in 2025?BUY0.4299999931$10.00
03-11 16:21Will Zelensky wear suit next Trump meeting?BUY0.2099999286$2.00
03-11 16:18Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2025 Drivers Champion?BUY0.1299999951$20.00