farmerjoey
0xadf0c0e6d628b1e29d46075c1b215b70d5b89c3b
- Realised P&L
- $-463.59
- Volume
- $3.1k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $18.40
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-15.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? · Yes | 0.089 | 0.096 | $10.70 | +$0.70 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.027 | $4.43 | −$0.57 |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.004 | $1.52 | −$98.48 |
| Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.004 | $1.45 | −$98.55 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.010 | $0.29 | −$4.71 |
| Will Charles Leclerc be the 2025 Drivers Champion? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion? · Yes | 0.259 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.79at 0.358UFC 324: Nunes vs. Harrison (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)
- +$13.26at 0.430New Pope in 2025?
- +$-2.00at 0.210Will Zelensky wear suit next Trump meeting?
- +$-3.00at 0.047Will Ralph Fiennes win Best Actor at the 2025 Oscars?
- +$-5.00at 0.026Will "A Real Pain" win Best Original Screenplay at the 2025 Oscars?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-06 16:29 | Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison? | BUY | 0.1699999759 | $5.00 |
| 03-06 16:28 | Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison? | BUY | 0.0304504248 | $5.00 |
| 03-06 16:28 | Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? | BUY | 0.0892268754 | $10.00 |
| 03-06 16:22 | Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.3098277358 | $100.00 |
| 02-20 15:36 | Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.2299999986 | $100.00 |
| 01-10 10:09 | UFC 324: Nunes vs. Harrison (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.3581989715 | $50.00 |
| 04-21 16:57 | Tiger Woods x Vanessa Trump engaged in 2025? | BUY | 0.1499999887 | $10.00 |
| 04-21 16:54 | Ryan Reynolds & Blake Lively divorce in 2025? | BUY | 0.149999994 | $20.00 |
| 04-21 16:53 | Will the next James Bond be British? | BUY | 0.7199999741 | $20.00 |
| 04-21 16:53 | Did the FBI destroy Epstein files? | BUY | 0.1099999913 | $10.00 |
| 04-21 16:43 | Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | BUY | 0.2339999884 | $15.00 |
| 04-21 16:41 | Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope? | BUY | 0.3 | $15.00 |
| 03-11 16:23 | New Pope in 2025? | BUY | 0.4299999931 | $10.00 |
| 03-11 16:21 | Will Zelensky wear suit next Trump meeting? | BUY | 0.2099999286 | $2.00 |
| 03-11 16:18 | Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | BUY | 0.1299999951 | $20.00 |