PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xadEe3155d14E3bba405eD1C9D38F999431c5d89C-1733923036058

0xadee3155d14e3bba405ed1c9d38f999431c5d89c

Realised P&L
$-42.18
Volume
$5.4k
Markets traded
170
Open portfolio
$51.48

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded170
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration4.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 19? · No0.9980.998$33.38$0.02
Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · No0.9930.999$18.10+$0.10
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? · No0.9950.000$0.00$17.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 22:04Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 19?BUY0.998$33.40
09-07 08:44Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 8?BUY0.996$19.80
09-06 04:06Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 6?BUY0.996$25.00
09-03 19:40Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?BUY0.996$24.70
09-02 23:26Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on September 2?BUY0.9964641739$21.00
08-29 09:34Will George Pickens play for Buffalo Bills in 2026-27?BUY0.998$24.00
08-27 10:19US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?BUY0.997$36.40
08-23 11:56Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?BUY0.995$13.00
08-22 06:44Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 22?BUY0.998$25.00
08-19 13:06Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 20?BUY0.997$28.00
08-15 11:02Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 August 10-16?BUY0.998$28.00
08-13 15:47Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 August 10-16?BUY0.998$30.30
08-11 17:24Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 12?BUY0.996$24.00
08-10 07:52Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?BUY0.995$26.00
08-10 06:23Will annual inflation be 3.9% in July?BUY0.9969999819$37.70