PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

dreamst

0xadec475c5e928ea274852230f514438d7546467d

Realised P&L
$-159.74
Volume
$5.0k
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$16.50

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration51.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? · Yes0.1900.055$16.50$40.50
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$2.00
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025? · Yes0.3960.000$0.00$102.96
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00$13.16
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025? · Yes0.3820.000$0.00$30.56

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-26 18:30Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?SELL0.07$1.40
02-26 18:28Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?SELL0.07$5.46
02-10 11:57Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.27$28.66
02-07 09:17Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?BUY0.19$57.00
02-07 09:13Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.27$17.86
02-06 19:09Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?SELL0.23$89.70
01-31 10:35Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?BUY0.19$18.62
01-27 15:04Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?BUY0.25$97.50
01-26 11:43Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?SELL0.74$116.18
01-24 09:14Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?BUY0.75$117.75
12-10 04:16Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?BUY0.9$99.00
10-31 16:49Will the Government shutdown end by October 31?BUY0.999$99.90
10-28 11:17Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?BUY0.396$16.75
10-28 10:39Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?BUY0.003$3.00
10-28 10:35Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?SELL0.00798675$0.64