PolyBot

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Traders

zhenni

0xade91e4502d8e8456dd98b004c4f7e607f399ec3

Realised P&L
$-4.1k
Volume
$1.94M
Markets traded
961
Open portfolio
$4.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded961
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 28? · Yes0.9981.000$999.50+$1.50
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $94,000 on September 28? · No0.9991.000$819.59+$0.45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on September 28? · No0.9991.000$799.60+$0.40
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · Yes0.9480.952$570.90+$2.10
Will Ted Cruz post 60-79 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · No0.9900.610$396.48−$246.99
Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · No0.9990.994$298.05−$1.65
Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · No0.9900.989$296.70−$0.30
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · No0.9850.930$279.14−$16.35
Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026? · No0.9900.995$268.87+$1.35
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · Yes0.6500.930$65.13+$19.61
Will Zelenskyy post 0-19 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026? · No0.9951.000$25.05+$0.11
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $76,000 on September 28? · No0.9981.000$1.00+$0.00
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5 · Under0.9990.000$0.00−$2.0k
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026? · Yes0.0000.000$0.00+$0.00
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-27 16:16Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?BUY0.999$2.0k
09-27 16:05Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?SELL0.93$79.85
09-27 16:04Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?SELL0.94$0.63
09-26 07:09Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?BUY0.9989966667$3.0k
09-26 07:09Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?BUY0.9989316667$3.0k
09-26 06:10Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?BUY0.65$45.52
09-24 03:28Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?BUY0.91$455.00
09-24 03:24Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.995$8.96
09-23 16:48Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?BUY0.999$299.70
09-22 05:16Will Ted Cruz post 40-59 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.998$6.64
09-22 03:15Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?BUY0.999$999.00
09-22 02:46Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.999$138.68
09-21 17:54Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.997$7.98
09-21 16:28Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.999$714.15
09-21 16:27Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.999$2.0k