kihihi
0xade74a23c444d0eebee00034459fbc269fab58af
- Realised P&L
- $77.30
- Volume
- $10.0k
- Markets traded
- 194
- Open portfolio
- $22.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded194
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No | 0.828 | 0.966 | $15.04 | +$2.15 |
| China Open: Petra Marcinko vs Magdalena Frech · Petra Marcinko | 0.500 | 0.495 | $4.92 | −$0.05 |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31? · No | 0.690 | 0.915 | $2.64 | +$0.65 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.23at 0.350Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?
- +$18.21at 0.641Sharks vs. Senators
- +$10.42at 0.590 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$7.43at 0.427Morocco leading at halftime?
- +$6.85at 0.380Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-03-15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 07:21 | China Open: Petra Marcinko vs Magdalena Frech | SELL | 0.49 | $2.06 |
| 09-29 07:13 | China Open: Petra Marcinko vs Magdalena Frech | SELL | 0.49 | $7.77 |
| 09-29 06:31 | China Open: Petra Marcinko vs Magdalena Frech | BUY | 0.5 | $15.00 |
| 06-28 21:12 | Will Emma Raducanu be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? | BUY | 0.996 | $15.00 |
| 06-28 15:02 | Wimbledon WTA: Antonia Ruzic vs Emma Raducanu | SELL | 0.39 | $15.00 |
| 06-27 15:50 | Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30? | BUY | 0.8299999491 | $11.08 |
| 06-27 14:34 | Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30? | BUY | 0.8599999576 | $15.00 |
| 06-27 07:50 | Wimbledon WTA: Antonia Ruzic vs Emma Raducanu | BUY | 0.3 | $15.00 |
| 06-24 10:34 | Set Handicap: Sonmez (-1.5) vs Bejlek (+1.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $9.60 |
| 06-24 10:34 | Set Handicap: Sonmez (-1.5) vs Bejlek (+1.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $2.88 |
| 06-24 10:32 | Zeynep Sonmez vs. Sara Bejlek: Total Sets O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $15.00 |
| 06-21 20:42 | Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21? | BUY | 0.1799999684 | $3.99 |
| 06-20 12:03 | Set 1 Winner: Badosa vs Kraus | BUY | 0.5 | $2.07 |
| 06-20 12:03 | Set Handicap: Badosa (-1.5) vs Kraus (+1.5) | BUY | 0.5099999956 | $15.00 |
| 06-19 22:44 | Morocco leading at halftime? | SELL | 0.95 | $13.55 |