expanding
0xade489f44e1e6ae405357dd62cc7e67abf996baa
- Realised P&L
- $-5.2k
- Volume
- $135.7k
- Markets traded
- 1,402
- Open portfolio
- $439.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,402
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$343.16at 0.592Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner
- +$322.68at 0.488Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs 1win - Game 1 Winner
- +$300.84at 0.508Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
- +$284.23at 0.522Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
- +$274.38at 0.530Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 01:14 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $3.42 |
| 09-28 01:14 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET | BUY | 0.5199999331 | $3.42 |
| 09-28 01:09 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $3.99 |
| 09-28 01:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET | BUY | 0.55 | $6.60 |
| 09-28 01:09 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999617 | $3.99 |
| 09-28 01:04 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET | BUY | 0.5599999869 | $3.42 |
| 09-28 01:04 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET | BUY | 0.5199999331 | $3.42 |
| 09-28 00:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999454 | $3.36 |
| 09-28 00:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET | BUY | 0.5299999334 | $3.42 |
| 09-28 00:29 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5299999989 | $13.92 |
| 09-28 00:24 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5399999933 | $11.20 |
| 09-28 00:24 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5399999792 | $7.28 |
| 09-28 00:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5721018051 | $10.80 |
| 09-28 00:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET | BUY | 0.509999997 | $20.16 |
| 09-28 00:15 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 27, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET | BUY | 0.52999997 | $3.36 |