PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xADdf0d5B26d7953f14E064F83c1A94A19cD12a28-1769748362914

0xaddf0d5b26d7953f14e064f83c1a94a19cd12a28

Realised P&L
$-63.60
Volume
$4.3k
Markets traded
34
Open portfolio
$4.53

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded34
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will HSBC fail by end of 2026? · Yes0.0360.024$1.31−$0.69
Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026? · Yes0.0260.015$1.13−$0.87
Will UBS fail by end of 2026? · Yes0.0260.012$0.91−$1.09
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December? · Yes0.0310.018$0.87−$0.63
Ripple Labs IPO before 2027? · Yes0.0900.026$0.29−$0.71
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00−$1.50
XRP all time high by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0310.000$0.00−$3.55
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$1.50
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,400 in August? · Yes0.0940.000$0.00−$2.24
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00−$9.95
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00−$2.24
XRP all time high by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0560.000$0.00−$8.10
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00−$9.50
Will HSBC fail by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00−$2.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-30 18:14Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,400 in August?BUY0.0940605719$2.24
07-30 18:02Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.0228853171$1.50
07-13 16:24Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?BUY0.0560052941$1.00
07-13 16:20Ripple Labs IPO before 2027?BUY0.089999919$1.00
07-13 15:52Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?BUY0.0309999805$1.50
06-30 23:35Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026?BUY0.0264587637$2.00
06-30 23:34Will UBS fail by end of 2026?BUY0.026255129$2.00
06-30 23:32Will HSBC fail by end of 2026?BUY0.0358208785$2.00
06-28 14:44Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?BUY0.16$2.00
06-24 19:20XRP all time high by September 30, 2026?BUY0.053361793$2.00
06-20 08:16Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?BUY0.0696081639$2.40
06-19 17:28Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.005$0.89
06-19 17:24XRP all time high by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0579999838$3.20
06-19 17:21Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June?SELL0.485$16.02
06-17 07:06XRP all time high by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0569999508$1.05