n4zgul
0xadd9ab62b2c22151c661b99821cbb7433df98df9
- Realised P&L
- $-2.0k
- Volume
- $152.5k
- Markets traded
- 8,032
- Open portfolio
- $64.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded8,032
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration9.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 15? · No | 0.555 | 0.540 | $21.60 | −$0.60 |
| Kimberly Guilfoyle federally charged by December 31? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.115 | $11.50 | −$7.50 |
| Will OXY play for Sentinels in 2027? · No | 0.521 | 0.447 | $8.94 | −$1.48 |
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 15? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.435 | $8.70 | −$0.70 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 16? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.375 | $7.50 | −$0.30 |
| Will Trump rename an ocean by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.265 | $5.30 | −$3.10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on October 15? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.205 | $0.94 | −$0.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$45.52at 0.068XRP Up or Down - March 30, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
- +$45.43at 0.072Ethereum Up or Down - March 26, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
- +$42.29at 0.075XRP Up or Down - April 9, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
- +$41.83at 0.086Ethereum Up or Down - April 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
- +$38.25at 0.070Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 19:41 | Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.82 | $9.76 |
| 10-14 19:06 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on October 15? | SELL | 0.36 | $5.03 |
| 10-14 15:52 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.55 | $11.00 |
| 10-14 13:22 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or higher on October 15? | SELL | 0.3 | $2.47 |
| 10-14 13:03 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.88 | $5.28 |
| 10-14 06:05 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.94 | $5.64 |
| 10-13 19:43 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.75 | $9.87 |
| 10-13 16:32 | Rahul Gandhi arrested by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.54 | $22.68 |
| 10-13 15:03 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.93 | $5.58 |
| 10-12 23:18 | Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16? | SELL | 0.13 | $6.50 |
| 10-12 13:01 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.85 | $5.10 |
| 10-11 23:14 | Will EC Bahia win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.77 | $9.63 |
| 10-11 22:03 | Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.84 | $9.77 |
| 10-11 21:11 | Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.83 | $9.65 |
| 10-11 20:04 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on October 11? | BUY | 0.87 | $5.22 |