Iseedeadpoeple
0xadd90905c0c1b257a35c2340b82dcf4cc33eeab9
- Realised P&L
- $5.0k
- Volume
- $28.3k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $7.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar17.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration76.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.099 | 0.502 | $5.9k | +$4.7k |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes | 0.215 | 0.615 | $1.2k | +$793.20 |
| Will Yashar win 30 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.056 | $5.00 | −$10.30 |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? · No | 0.459 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$110.00 |
| Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? · No | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.20 |
| Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30? · No | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Israel Election: Yashar & Together Run on Same List? · Yes | 0.105 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$149.20 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)? · Yes | 0.058 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$149.18at 0.136Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$21.53at 0.019Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$12.74at 0.885Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?
- +$7.38at 0.900Netanyahu out by June 30?
- +$2.52at 0.518Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 03:43 | Will Yashar win 30 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.17 | $15.30 |
| 09-06 04:39 | Israel Election: Yashar & Together Run on Same List? | SELL | 0.0155849314 | $10.07 |
| 09-06 04:37 | Israel Election: Yashar & Together Run on Same List? | BUY | 0.1095758946 | $184.64 |
| 09-06 04:35 | Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.1316088469 | $44.27 |
| 09-06 04:30 | Israel Election: Yashar & Together Run on Same List? | BUY | 0.0949364625 | $75.95 |
| 08-01 18:03 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? | BUY | 0.4590035432 | $110.00 |
| 07-19 21:51 | Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw? | SELL | 0.9975 | $113.35 |
| 07-19 21:14 | Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.8799999996 | $100.00 |
| 07-14 20:22 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.1099999938 | $15.00 |
| 07-11 18:23 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3549999988 | $100.00 |
| 07-11 18:22 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.5335485168 | $225.55 |
| 06-30 19:11 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.5076345072 | $214.60 |
| 06-17 21:15 | Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.2761024807 | $244.40 |
| 06-17 21:15 | Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.26 | $13.00 |
| 06-17 21:14 | Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.3 | $15.00 |