rattlin-bog-down
0xadd4c513b8a7f7ce78c761ae49ef0a8f497506a2
- Realised P&L
- $-316.95
- Volume
- $329.1k
- Markets traded
- 3,493
- Open portfolio
- $221.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,493
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$337.70at 0.464Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4PM ET
- +$330.62at 0.585Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2PM ET
- +$327.25at 0.575Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10AM ET
- +$324.72at 0.528Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3PM ET
- +$299.57at 0.551Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 01:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9PM ET | BUY | 0.97 | $77.47 |
| 09-18 01:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 9PM ET | BUY | 0.91 | $9.10 |
| 09-18 00:49 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5 | SELL | 0.92 | $184.00 |
| 09-18 00:49 | Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros | SELL | 0.957 | $181.83 |
| 09-18 00:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET | BUY | 0.3299999815 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 00:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET | BUY | 0.7 | $15.00 |
| 09-18 00:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET | SELL | 0.89 | $23.15 |
| 09-18 00:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET | BUY | 0.0899999993 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 00:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 00:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET | BUY | 0.3699999867 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 00:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $15.00 |
| 09-18 00:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET | BUY | 0.3099999857 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 00:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $10.00 |
| 09-18 00:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET | BUY | 0.449999964 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 22:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 6PM ET | BUY | 0.84 | $0.45 |