PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

vxxxxv

0xadd0c717c29860586094dc197c0506f84a89df58

Realised P&L
$565.09
Volume
$38.9k
Markets traded
337
Open portfolio
$4.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded337
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration72.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8850.989$3.0k+$310.50
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8600.976$1.1k+$127.05
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October? · No0.3500.355$35.50+$0.50
USD1 depeg by December 31? · No0.7200.945$8.77+$2.09
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in October? · No0.0890.105$5.25+$0.80
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 1? · Yes0.0300.018$0.16−$0.10
LAPTOP FDV above $750M one day after launch? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$14.00
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 1? · No0.6120.000$0.00−$6.12
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00−$12.00
LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.0440.000$0.00−$8.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 10:47Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 1?BUY0.03$0.26
10-01 08:48Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?BUY0.35$35.00
10-01 08:39Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in October?BUY0.089$4.45
09-30 14:37Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September?BUY0.024$12.00
09-30 14:35Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September?SELL0.97505$97.50
09-28 18:17Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September?BUY0.916$91.60
09-28 16:22Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in September?BUY0.965$289.50
09-27 02:58Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?BUY0.932$27.06
09-27 02:58Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?BUY0.933$466.50
09-27 02:57Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.973$973.00
09-26 13:13Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?BUY0.946$9.46
09-25 18:54Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in September?BUY0.95$95.00
09-25 18:52Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in September?BUY0.95$380.00
09-10 16:42LAPTOP FDV above $750M one day after launch?BUY0.14$14.00
09-10 16:41LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.044$8.80