0xadcf0cd8a2cfcec55781600959ec03252c17447e
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $36.02
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.002 | $36.02 | −$11.99 |
| Will Tether be accused of insider trading? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Dexscreener be accused of insider trading? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
| Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading? · Yes | 0.104 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$43.91at 0.090Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$33.57at 0.060Tucker Carlson federally charged?
- +$2.15at 0.013Will Coinbase be accused of insider trading?
- +$0.31at 0.038Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
- +$-1.25at 0.044Will World Liberty Financial be accused of insider trading?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 07:36 | Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.002 | $48.03 |
| 06-20 17:32 | Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.007 | $11.97 |
| 06-20 15:21 | Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.008 | $13.68 |
| 06-06 10:32 | Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.007 | $67.45 |
| 06-02 18:31 | Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.008 | $77.09 |
| 05-31 16:22 | Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.007 | $64.52 |
| 05-28 16:44 | Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.007 | $64.52 |
| 05-23 00:38 | Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.43 |
| 05-23 00:27 | Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.008 | $146.05 |
| 05-16 16:37 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | SELL | 0.0391695611 | $10.31 |
| 05-16 05:25 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | BUY | 0.0379999965 | $10.00 |
| 04-25 03:03 | Will Trump visit China by April 30? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.83 |
| 04-15 16:10 | Will Trump visit China by April 30? | BUY | 0.0130000001 | $3.61 |
| 04-14 14:20 | Will Trump visit China by April 30? | SELL | 0.013 | $5.44 |
| 04-13 16:56 | Will Trump visit China by April 30? | BUY | 0.016 | $6.70 |