xiaoxiaocangying
0xadcefdd84ffd58d9500c4d03e328b016ef94a482
- Realised P&L
- $2.3k
- Volume
- $5.57M
- Markets traded
- 19,257
- Open portfolio
- $70.96
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19,257
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$991.99at 0.064Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
- +$977.04at 0.080Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
- +$970.00at 0.030Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
- +$970.00at 0.030Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
- +$970.00at 0.030Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 16:43 | Dota 2: PuckChamp vs BALU - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.991 | $69.37 |
| 09-20 16:10 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C or below on September 20? | SELL | 0.31 | $1.42 |
| 09-20 16:10 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 09-20 16:09 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.24 |
| 09-20 16:08 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.12 |
| 09-20 16:08 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 09-20 16:08 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.12 |
| 09-20 16:07 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.17 | $0.72 |
| 09-20 16:02 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.12 |
| 09-20 15:57 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.51 | $1.11 |
| 09-20 15:56 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.17 | $0.04 |
| 09-20 15:55 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.41 | $0.41 |
| 09-20 15:53 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.57 |
| 09-20 15:52 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C or higher on September 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.99 |
| 09-20 15:52 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.71 | $4.26 |