PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

castanedapamela

0xadce32ef5bc06870de027e0ce33ce9b625f16589

Realised P&L
$41.14
Volume
$11.8k
Markets traded
81
Open portfolio
$91.96

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded81
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration56.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration60.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 6? · No0.6601.000$56.00+$19.04
Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 9? · No0.6100.680$35.96+$3.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-31 14:26Will BNB dip to $700 in January?BUY0.9989999301$12.14
01-30 12:37Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of January?BUY0.9989999707$15.53
01-30 11:58Will Ethena hit $0.29 in January?BUY0.998$16.37
01-30 11:52Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of January?BUY0.998$41.43
12-30 09:28Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?BUY0.999$11.11
12-30 01:59Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin in 2025?BUY0.999$8.92
12-30 00:14Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.998$27.19
12-29 21:58Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.999$37.55
10-31 00:29Will Oracle be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?BUY0.999$21.67
10-30 20:20Will OpenAI have the top AI model on October 31?BUY0.998$16.66
10-30 19:56Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in October?BUY0.9909999586$15.31
10-08 08:40Dogecoin all time high before 2026?SELL0.826$12.19
09-29 13:55Lisa Cook arrested by September 30?BUY0.9969999829$15.48
09-29 04:27Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?BUY0.9939999717$18.43
09-29 01:04Will Meta have the second best AI model on September 30?BUY0.999$15.00